Southern California
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 86.5297Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 16- 9 212 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 4-15 215 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 9- 8 220 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 12-11 222 A Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 4-18 228 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 16-14 304 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 13- 3 308 H Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 19-10 312 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 8-19 315 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 11-15 319 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 5-20 322 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 7-13 328 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 8-15 404 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 5-11 406 A Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 15- 4 411 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10-11 418 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 15-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H California 16- 9 7 5 1.92
212 H Denver 4-15 -11 -6 -- -5.11
215 H Brown 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.31
220 A UC Davis 12-11 1 1 0.36
222 A Stanford 4-18 -14 -11 - -3.24
228 A Arizona State 16-14 2 -2 + 3.79
304 H San Diego State 13- 3 10 8 1.71
308 H Niagara 19-10 9 10 -0.55
312 H Penn State 8-19 -11 -5 -- -5.55
315 H Michigan 11-15 -4 -6 + 2.02
319 A Johns Hopkins 5-20 -15 -9 -- -4.94
322 A Maryland 7-13 -6 -8 + 2.49
328 H Rutgers 8-15 -7 -3 -- -4.01
404 A Northwestern 5-11 -6 -12 ++ 5.75
406 A Central Michigan 15- 4 11 11 0.24
411 H Ohio State 10-11 -1 -2 1.20
418 A Oregon 15-10 5 3 1.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Denver 4-15 -11 -6 -- -5.11 312 H Penn State 8-19 -11 -5 -- -5.55 319 A Johns Hopkins 5-20 -15 -9 -- -4.94 328 H Rutgers 8-15 -7 -3 -- -4.01 222 A Stanford 4-18 -14 -11 - -3.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Northwestern 5-11 -6 -12 ++ 5.75 215 H Brown 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.31 228 A Arizona State 16-14 2 -2 + 3.79 315 H Michigan 11-15 -4 -6 + 2.02 322 A Maryland 7-13 -6 -8 + 2.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 16- 9 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 1.02 44.26
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 4-15 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 1.02 -3.81
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 9- 8 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 1.02 57.29
3 A UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 12-11 -15.38 24.79 1.37 1.02 53.31
3 A Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 4-18 -3.98 36.19 1.37 1.02 -1.33
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 16-14 -12.95 27.22 1.37 1.02 58.26
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 13- 3 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 1.02 37.71
3 H Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 19-10 -21.55 18.62 -1.37 1.02 35.16
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 8-19 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 1.02 -4.04
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 11-15 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 1.02 -3.74
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 5-20 -5.68 34.49 1.37 1.02 -2.20
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 7-13 -6.24 33.92 1.37 1.02 -2.48
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 8-15 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 1.02 -5.29
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 5-11 -2.98 37.18 1.37 1.02 -0.82
3 A Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 15- 4 -25.50 14.67 1.37 1.02 32.68
3 H Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10-11 -9.80 30.36 -1.37 1.02 -5.69
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 15-10 -18.12 22.05 1.37 1.02 47.73
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336.97
|
winning pts = 366.3819 losing points = -29.4117
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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